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Clarity | Trending Prediction Markets
All
TSLA
GOOGL
META
MSFT
AMZN
AAPL
NVDA
OPEN
GSPC
HIMS
Opendoor (OPEN) close price end of 2025?
Above $0.50
Yes
91%
Above $2.00
Yes
82%
8,404 vol.
Which company will have the best AI model at the end of 2025?
Google (Gemini)
40%
OpenAI (GPT)
6%
Meta (Llama)
0%
Anthropic (Claude)
51%
X (Grok)
1%
DeepSeek (DeepSeek)
0%
Microsoft (Phi)
0%
Other
2%
6,887 vol.
Which Mag-7 stock will have the best performance in 2025?
META
10%
MSFT
8%
NVDA
13%
AMZN
0%
GOOGL
51%
TSLA
18%
AAPL
0%
5,836 vol.
Will the US experience a recession in 2025?
10%
chance
Yes
0.10 / share
90%
chance
No
0.90 / share
3,279 vol.
Will Tesla officially announce a new vehicle model for retail sale by the end of 2025?
59%
chance
Yes
0.59 / share
41%
chance
No
0.41 / share
3,129 vol.
Will Elon Musk and Tesla face targeted legal or regulatory action following his falling out with Donald Trump?
13%
chance
Yes
0.13 / share
87%
chance
No
0.87 / share
1,516 vol.
Will HIMS still have compounded GLP-1s available for sale at the end of 2025?
85%
chance
Yes
0.85 / share
15%
chance
No
0.15 / share
1,140 vol.
Will the SPY finish positive this year?
96%
chance
Yes
0.96 / share
4%
chance
No
0.04 / share
971 vol.
What will be the price of Bitcoin at the end of November?
58%
chance
Over 140,000
0.58 / share
42%
chance
Under 140,000
0.42 / share
600 vol.
Which of these will be the best performing stock this week?
OKLO
8%
TSLA
8%
BYND
8%
OPEN
68%
GOOG
8%
500 vol.
Will Winter 2025-2026 be the coldest winter in recorded U.S. history?
34%
chance
Yes
0.34 / share
66%
chance
No
0.66 / share
402 vol.
Will the MAG-7 stocks finish positive this week?
31%
chance
Yes
0.31 / share
69%
chance
No
0.69 / share
250 vol.
Will the month-over-month Core PCE be above 0.25% for November?
44%
chance
Yes
0.44 / share
56%
chance
No
0.56 / share
191 vol.
Will Discord IPO by July 2026?
60%
chance
Yes
0.60 / share
40%
chance
No
0.40 / share
111 vol.
Will the US jobs growth increase in November?
43%
chance
Yes
0.43 / share
57%
chance
No
0.57 / share
75 vol.
Will the US monthly retail sales increase in November?
55%
chance
Yes
0.55 / share
45%
chance
No
0.45 / share
55 vol.
Will President Trump be impeached for a THIRD time before his second term ends?
50%
chance
Yes
0.50 / share
50%
chance
No
0.50 / share
5 vol.
Which 'slop bowl' company will have the best stock performance in November?
CMG
33%
CAVA
34%
SG
33%
1 vol.
Best performing commodity in November?
Gold
25%
Silver
25%
Natural Gas
25%
Coffee
25%
1 vol.
Weekly percentage change of the S&P 500?
50%
chance
Positive
0.50 / share
50%
chance
Negative
0.50 / share
0 vol.
Price of crude oil up this week?
50%
chance
Yes
0.50 / share
50%
chance
No
0.50 / share
0 vol.
Will the US experience a recession in 2026?
50%
chance
Yes
0.50 / share
50%
chance
No
0.50 / share
0 vol.
Crude oil prices up in November?
50%
chance
Yes
0.50 / share
50%
chance
No
0.50 / share
0 vol.
Which of these will be the best performing crypto in November?
BTC
25%
ETH
25%
SOL
25%
LTC
25%
0 vol.
Best performing commodity this week?
Gold
20%
Silver
20%
Coffee
20%
Orange Juice
20%
Corn
20%
0 vol.
Will Orange Juice futures outperform the S&P 500 this month?
50%
chance
Yes
0.50 / share
50%
chance
No
0.50 / share
0 vol.
How will the S&P 500 do in November?
-1%
Yes
50%
+2%
Yes
50%
0 vol.
Applied Digital (APLD) close price end of 2025?
Over $15.0?
Yes
50%
Over $20.0?
Yes
50%
0 vol.
Will November Consumer Price Index (CPI) be above 2.9%?
50%
chance
Yes
0.50 / share
50%
chance
No
0.50 / share
0 vol.
What will be the best performing MAG-7 stock in November?
GOOGL
14%
AMZN
14%
AAPL
14%
MSFT
14%
META
14%
NVDA
14%
TSLA
14%
0 vol.
Will OpenAI IPO at a valuation of $1 trillion or more by December 2027?
50%
chance
Yes
0.50 / share
50%
chance
No
0.50 / share
0 vol.
Will the VIX close higher this week?
50%
chance
Yes
0.50 / share
50%
chance
No
0.50 / share
0 vol.
Which of these will be the best performing crypto this week?
BTC
33%
SOL
33%
ETH
33%
0 vol.
Will Congress pass legislation allowing 50-year mortgages as qualified mortgages by the end of 2026?
50%
chance
Yes
0.50 / share
50%
chance
No
0.50 / share
0 vol.
Car crashes in the United States this winter?
Over 400,000
Yes
50%
Over 450,000
Yes
50%
0 vol.
Will Donald Trump complete his full presidential term (January 20, 2025 - January 20, 2029) without being removed from office?
50%
chance
Yes
0.50 / share
50%
chance
No
0.50 / share
0 vol.