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MRNA

ABNB

RIVN

AMAT

XLK

TSLA

JPM

SHOP

MAR

MCD

Will Anduril IPO by end of 2026?

40%chance

0.40 / share

60%chance

0.60 / share

5,140 vol.

Will Discord IPO by July 2026?

69%chance

0.69 / share

31%chance

0.31 / share

4,657 vol.

Will Canva IPO by end of 2026?

47%chance

0.47 / share

53%chance

0.53 / share

4,627 vol.

Will Congress pass legislation allowing 50-year mortgages as qualified mortgages by the end of 2026?

12%chance

0.12 / share

88%chance

0.88 / share

2,823 vol.

Will Lucid Motors (LCID) be acquired by end of 2026?

40%chance

0.40 / share

60%chance

0.60 / share

2,159 vol.

Who will Warner Bros. be acquired by?

Netflix

Paramount

2,156 vol.

Will Donald Trump complete his full presidential term (January 20, 2025 - January 20, 2029) without being removed from office?

50%chance

0.50 / share

50%chance

0.50 / share

1,123 vol.

Will Winter 2025-2026 be the coldest winter in recorded U.S. history?

14%chance

0.14 / share

86%chance

0.86 / share

880 vol.

Will 2026 college graduates have the highest unemployment rate of any U.S. graduating class from 2000 through 2026?

32%chance

0.32 / share

68%chance

0.68 / share

650 vol.

Car crashes in the United States this winter?

Over 400,000

Over 450,000

650 vol.

Will Anthropic IPO in 2026?

26%chance

0.26 / share

74%chance

0.74 / share

572 vol.

Which sportswear brand will have the greatest percentage gain in 2026?

485 vol.

Will the Democrats win control of the U.S. House in 2026?

50%chance

0.50 / share

50%chance

0.50 / share

481 vol.

Polymarket IPO in 2026?

21%chance

0.21 / share

79%chance

0.79 / share

450 vol.

Will the Technology Sector collapse in 2026?

40%chance

0.40 / share

60%chance

0.60 / share

357 vol.

Who will win Elon Musk vs. OpenAI?

Open AI

Elon Musk

330 vol.

Will Democrats win control of the U.S. Senate in 2026?

28%chance

0.28 / share

72%chance

0.72 / share

300 vol.

Will the US experience a recession in 2026?

36%chance

0.36 / share

64%chance

0.64 / share

283 vol.

Will JPM's top picks for 2026 outperform the SP500?

50%chance

0.50 / share

50%chance

0.50 / share

261 vol.

Will President Trump be impeached for a THIRD time before his second term ends?

34%chance

0.34 / share

66%chance

0.66 / share

205 vol.

Will MRNA beat EPS expectations?

45%chance

0.45 / share

55%chance

0.55 / share

179 vol.

Will one of the 2026 Forbes 30 under 30 go bankrupt in 2026?

36%chance

0.36 / share

64%chance

0.64 / share

173 vol.

Will OpenAI IPO at a valuation of $1 trillion or more by December 2027?

40%chance

0.40 / share

60%chance

0.60 / share

120 vol.

Will ABNB beat EPS expectations?

56%chance

0.56 / share

44%chance

0.44 / share

60 vol.

Will SHOP finish the week positive?

56%chance

0.56 / share

44%chance

0.44 / share

60 vol.

Will RIVN beat EPS expectations?

45%chance

0.45 / share

55%chance

0.55 / share

59 vol.

Will MRNA beat revenue expectations?

45%chance

0.45 / share

55%chance

0.55 / share

59 vol.

Will RIVN finish the week positive?

45%chance

0.45 / share

55%chance

0.55 / share

59 vol.

Will AMAT beat EPS expectations?

55%chance

0.55 / share

45%chance

0.45 / share

59 vol.

Will AMAT beat revenue expectations?

55%chance

0.55 / share

45%chance

0.45 / share

59 vol.

Will ABNB beat revenue expectations?

55%chance

0.55 / share

45%chance

0.45 / share

54 vol.

Will MRNA finish the week positive?

47%chance

0.47 / share

53%chance

0.53 / share

27 vol.

Will MAR finish the week positive?

53%chance

0.53 / share

47%chance

0.47 / share

27 vol.

Will ABNB finish the week positive?

52%chance

0.52 / share

48%chance

0.48 / share

26 vol.

Will MCD finish the week positive?

50%chance

0.50 / share

50%chance

0.50 / share

0 vol.

Will CSCO finish the week positive?

50%chance

0.50 / share

50%chance

0.50 / share

0 vol.

Will AMAT finish the week positive?

55%chance

0.55 / share

45%chance

0.45 / share

0 vol.

Will HOOD finish the week positive?

50%chance

0.50 / share

50%chance

0.50 / share

0 vol.

Will DDOG finish the week positive?

50%chance

0.50 / share

50%chance

0.50 / share

0 vol.

Will ON finish the week positive?

50%chance

0.50 / share

50%chance

0.50 / share

0 vol.

Will RIVN beat revenue expectations?

50%chance

0.50 / share

50%chance

0.50 / share

0 vol.