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Copyright © 2025 Clarity Markets. All rights reserved.

United States

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TSLA

AAPL

GOOGL

NVDA

MSFT

META

AMZN

IXIC

XLK

APLD

Will Costco (COST) finish positive this week?

20%chance

0.20 / share

80%chance

0.80 / share

668 vol.

Which of these technology stocks (ORCL, ADBE, AVGO) will have the highest percentage gain this week?

1,168 vol.

Will Lululemon (LULU) finish positive this week?

88%chance

0.88 / share

12%chance

0.12 / share

1,342 vol.

Will 2026 college graduates have the highest unemployment rate of any U.S. graduating class from 2000 through 2026?

69%chance

0.69 / share

31%chance

0.31 / share

240 vol.

Best performing MAG-7 stock this week?

384 vol.

Best performing stock this week?

1,134 vol.

Best performing sector this week?

868 vol.

Bitcoin price this week?

Over 70,000

Over 80,000

4,172 vol.

Will Lucid Motors (LCID) be acquired by end of 2026?

87%chance

0.87 / share

13%chance

0.13 / share

717 vol.

Will Anthropic IPO in 2026?

50%chance

0.50 / share

50%chance

0.50 / share

0 vol.

Will one of the 2026 Forbes 30 under 30 be incarcerated in 2026?

49%chance

0.49 / share

51%chance

0.51 / share

5 vol.

Will one of the 2026 Forbes 30 under 30 go bankrupt in 2026?

50%chance

0.50 / share

50%chance

0.50 / share

0 vol.

Best performing stock in December?

CVNA

RDDT

5,934 vol.

Nasdaq price at end of December?

Over 20,000

Over 22,000

2,550 vol.

Which public company will finish 2025 with the largest market cap?

Nvidia (NVDA)

Apple (AAPL)

12,558 vol.

Which of these top tech company CEOs will remain by end of 2026?

Mark Zuckerberg (Meta)

Jensen Huang (Nvidia)

279 vol.

Polymarket IPO in 2026?

21%chance

0.21 / share

79%chance

0.79 / share

450 vol.

Crude oil prices up in December?

51%chance

0.51 / share

49%chance

0.49 / share

11 vol.

Will the Technology Sector collapse in 2026?

51%chance

0.51 / share

49%chance

0.49 / share

5 vol.

Will December monthly retail sales increase?

60%chance

0.60 / share

40%chance

0.40 / share

6,612 vol.

Which of the following sectors will have the highest total return in December 2025?

181 vol.

Will Democrats win control of the U.S. Senate in 2026?

28%chance

0.28 / share

72%chance

0.72 / share

300 vol.

Will the Democrats win control of the U.S. House in 2026?

31%chance

0.31 / share

69%chance

0.69 / share

240 vol.

Best performing commodity in December?

268 vol.

Fed to cut interest rates in December?

85%chance

0.85 / share

15%chance

0.15 / share

1,665 vol.

SP&500 price at end of December?

Over 6000

Over 5200

5,559 vol.

Bitcoin price at end of December?

Over 30,000

Over 70,000

2,893 vol.

Will Kalshi IPO by end of 2026?

43%chance

0.43 / share

57%chance

0.57 / share

7,826 vol.

Will Donald Trump complete his full presidential term (January 20, 2025 - January 20, 2029) without being removed from office?

50%chance

0.50 / share

50%chance

0.50 / share

499 vol.

Car crashes in the United States this winter?

Over 400,000

Over 450,000

650 vol.

Applied Digital (APLD) close price end of 2025?

Over $15.0?

Over $20.0?

681 vol.

Will Congress pass legislation allowing 50-year mortgages as qualified mortgages by the end of 2026?

12%chance

0.12 / share

88%chance

0.88 / share

2,664 vol.

Will the US experience a recession in 2026?

50%chance

0.50 / share

50%chance

0.50 / share

106 vol.

Will President Trump be impeached for a THIRD time before his second term ends?

34%chance

0.34 / share

66%chance

0.66 / share

205 vol.

Will Winter 2025-2026 be the coldest winter in recorded U.S. history?

19%chance

0.19 / share

81%chance

0.81 / share

711 vol.

Will OpenAI IPO at a valuation of $1 trillion or more by December 2027?

48%chance

0.48 / share

52%chance

0.52 / share

20 vol.

Will Discord IPO by July 2026?

60%chance

0.60 / share

40%chance

0.40 / share

4,510 vol.

Opendoor (OPEN) close price end of 2025?

Above $0.50

Above $1.00

15,499 vol.

Will HIMS still have compounded GLP-1s available for sale at the end of 2025?

87%chance

0.87 / share

13%chance

0.13 / share

1,570 vol.

Which Mag-7 stock will have the best performance in 2025?

11,882 vol.

Which company will have the best AI model at the end of 2025?

7,504 vol.

Which of the top tech company CEOs will still be in their role on January 1, 2026?

Jenson Huang (NVIDIA)

Elon Musk (Tesla)

25,007 vol.

Will Elon Musk and Tesla face targeted legal or regulatory action following his falling out with Donald Trump?

9%chance

0.09 / share

91%chance

0.91 / share

3,304 vol.

Will Tesla officially announce a new vehicle model for retail sale by the end of 2025?

61%chance

0.61 / share

39%chance

0.39 / share

6,661 vol.

Will the US experience a recession in 2025?

17%chance

0.17 / share

83%chance

0.83 / share

4,025 vol.

Will the SPY finish positive this year?

96%chance

0.96 / share

4%chance

0.04 / share

1,027 vol.