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JPM
XLK
Will JPM's top picks for 2026 outperform the SP500?
50%
chance
Yes
0.50 / share
50%
chance
No
0.50 / share
261 vol.
Which sportswear brand will have the greatest percentage gain in 2026?
NKE (Nike)
23%
ONON (On Running)
39%
LULU (Lululemon)
10%
ADDYY (Adidas)
10%
UA (Under Armour)
19%
485 vol.
Will Canva IPO by end of 2026?
45%
chance
Yes
0.45 / share
55%
chance
No
0.55 / share
59 vol.
Will Anduril IPO by end of 2026?
40%
chance
Yes
0.40 / share
60%
chance
No
0.60 / share
5,140 vol.
Who will Warner Bros. be acquired by?
Netflix
Yes
55%
Paramount
Yes
27%
2,156 vol.
Will 2026 college graduates have the highest unemployment rate of any U.S. graduating class from 2000 through 2026?
32%
chance
Yes
0.32 / share
68%
chance
No
0.68 / share
650 vol.
Will Lucid Motors (LCID) be acquired by end of 2026?
40%
chance
Yes
0.40 / share
60%
chance
No
0.60 / share
2,159 vol.
Will Anthropic IPO in 2026?
26%
chance
Yes
0.26 / share
74%
chance
No
0.74 / share
572 vol.
Will one of the 2026 Forbes 30 under 30 be incarcerated in 2026?
50%
chance
Yes
0.50 / share
50%
chance
No
0.50 / share
347 vol.
Will one of the 2026 Forbes 30 under 30 go bankrupt in 2026?
36%
chance
Yes
0.36 / share
64%
chance
No
0.64 / share
173 vol.
Polymarket IPO in 2026?
21%
chance
Yes
0.21 / share
79%
chance
No
0.79 / share
450 vol.
Will the Technology Sector collapse in 2026?
40%
chance
Yes
0.40 / share
60%
chance
No
0.60 / share
357 vol.
Will Democrats win control of the U.S. Senate in 2026?
28%
chance
Yes
0.28 / share
72%
chance
No
0.72 / share
300 vol.
Will the Democrats win control of the U.S. House in 2026?
50%
chance
Yes
0.50 / share
50%
chance
No
0.50 / share
481 vol.
Will Kalshi IPO by end of 2026?
36%
chance
Yes
0.36 / share
64%
chance
No
0.64 / share
7,926 vol.
Will Donald Trump complete his full presidential term (January 20, 2025 - January 20, 2029) without being removed from office?
50%
chance
Yes
0.50 / share
50%
chance
No
0.50 / share
1,123 vol.
Car crashes in the United States this winter?
Over 400,000
Yes
77%
Over 450,000
Yes
50%
650 vol.
Will Congress pass legislation allowing 50-year mortgages as qualified mortgages by the end of 2026?
12%
chance
Yes
0.12 / share
88%
chance
No
0.88 / share
2,823 vol.
Will the US experience a recession in 2026?
36%
chance
Yes
0.36 / share
64%
chance
No
0.64 / share
283 vol.
Will President Trump be impeached for a THIRD time before his second term ends?
34%
chance
Yes
0.34 / share
66%
chance
No
0.66 / share
205 vol.
Will Winter 2025-2026 be the coldest winter in recorded U.S. history?
14%
chance
Yes
0.14 / share
86%
chance
No
0.86 / share
880 vol.
Will OpenAI IPO at a valuation of $1 trillion or more by December 2027?
44%
chance
Yes
0.44 / share
56%
chance
No
0.56 / share
70 vol.
Will Discord IPO by July 2026?
69%
chance
Yes
0.69 / share
31%
chance
No
0.31 / share
4,657 vol.