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Clarity | Prediction Markets
All
TSLA
META
GOOGL
MSFT
AMZN
AAPL
NVDA
OPEN
HIMS
Will HIMS still have compounded GLP-1s available for sale at the end of 2025?
85%
chance
Yes
0.85 / share
15%
chance
No
0.15 / share
1,140 vol.
Which Mag-7 stock will have the best performance in 2025?
META
11%
MSFT
9%
NVDA
26%
AMZN
0%
GOOGL
34%
TSLA
20%
AAPL
0%
5,112 vol.
Which company will have the best AI model at the end of 2025?
Google (Gemini)
50%
OpenAI (GPT)
5%
Meta (Llama)
0%
Anthropic (Claude)
43%
X (Grok)
1%
DeepSeek (DeepSeek)
0%
Microsoft (Phi)
0%
Other
1%
4,996 vol.
Which of the top tech company CEOs will still be in their role on January 1, 2026?
Jenson Huang (NVIDIA)
Yes
98%
Satya Nadella (Microsoft)
Yes
97%
16,626 vol.
Will Elon Musk and Tesla face targeted legal or regulatory action following his falling out with Donald Trump?
13%
chance
Yes
0.13 / share
87%
chance
No
0.87 / share
1,498 vol.
Will Tesla officially announce a new vehicle model for retail sale by the end of 2025?
8%
chance
Yes
0.08 / share
92%
chance
No
0.92 / share
1,567 vol.
Will the US experience a recession in 2025?
20%
chance
Yes
0.20 / share
80%
chance
No
0.80 / share
2,906 vol.
Will the SPY finish positive this year?
95%
chance
Yes
0.95 / share
5%
chance
No
0.05 / share
865 vol.