Resolution Criteria

• House Control: YES resolves if, after the November 3, 2026 general election, the Democratic Party holds a majority of the 435 voting seats in the U.S. House of Representatives at the convening of the next Congress. NO resolves otherwise (i.e., if Republicans hold the majority).

Settlement

• Settlement will be based on the certified election results as reported by the Federal Election Commission (or other reliable, official sources).
• If there is no clear majority (e.g., tie + power-sharing deal), the market should specify a tie-break rule (for example, “NO” if no outright Democratic majority).
• If one chamber’s election is invalidated or postponed, that portion of the contract resolves “NO” unless otherwise specified.