This market resolves to Yes if the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reports negative GDP growth for two consecutive quarters in 2026. The outcome will be verified based on the official GDP growth reports published by the BEA
Timeline and Payout
Market open
November 4, 2025 · 7:03 PM EST
Market closes
December 31, 2026 · 11:59 PM EST
Projected payout
Typially within less than 24 hours of market close
This market will close and payout early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it resolves by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST.