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Clarity | Prediction Markets
All
AAPL
TSLA
NVDA
GOOGL
MSFT
AMZN
IXIC
APLD
META
XLK
Will Kalshi IPO by end of 2026?
43%
chance
Yes
0.43 / share
57%
chance
No
0.57 / share
7,826 vol.
Will December monthly retail sales increase?
50%
chance
Yes
0.50 / share
50%
chance
No
0.50 / share
6,500 vol.
Best performing stock in December?
CVNA
Yes
50%
GOOGL
Yes
50%
5,658 vol.
Will the US experience a recession in 2025?
17%
chance
Yes
0.17 / share
83%
chance
No
0.83 / share
4,025 vol.
Bitcoin price at end of December?
Over 30,000
Yes
94%
Over 70,000
Yes
85%
2,831 vol.
Nasdaq price at end of December?
Over 20,000
Yes
92%
Over 22,000
Yes
79%
2,429 vol.
Fed to cut interest rates in December?
85%
chance
Yes
0.85 / share
15%
chance
No
0.15 / share
1,665 vol.
SP&500 price at end of December?
Over 5200
Yes
91%
Over 6000
Yes
55%
1,062 vol.
Will Congress pass legislation allowing 50-year mortgages as qualified mortgages by the end of 2026?
13%
chance
Yes
0.13 / share
87%
chance
No
0.87 / share
717 vol.
Polymarket IPO in 2026?
21%
chance
Yes
0.21 / share
79%
chance
No
0.79 / share
450 vol.
Best performing commodity in December?
Gold
24%
Silver
28%
Oil
24%
Coffee
24%
249 vol.
Applied Digital (APLD) close price end of 2025?
Over $15.0?
Yes
55%
Over $20.0?
Yes
52%
190 vol.
Which of the following sectors will have the highest total return in December 2025?
XLK (Technology)
18%
XLV (Health Care)
33%
XLE (Energy)
31%
XLY (Consumer Discretionary)
18%
175 vol.
Which of these top tech company CEOs will remain by end of 2026?
Mark Zuckerberg (Meta)
Yes
55%
Jensen Huang (Nvidia)
Yes
55%
159 vol.
Will Discord IPO by July 2026?
60%
chance
Yes
0.60 / share
40%
chance
No
0.40 / share
111 vol.
Crude oil prices up in December?
51%
chance
Yes
0.51 / share
49%
chance
No
0.49 / share
11 vol.
Will the Technology Sector collapse in 2026?
51%
chance
Yes
0.51 / share
49%
chance
No
0.49 / share
5 vol.
Will one of the 2026 Forbes 30 under 30 be incarcerated in 2026?
50%
chance
Yes
0.50 / share
50%
chance
No
0.50 / share
5 vol.
Will the US experience a recession in 2026?
50%
chance
Yes
0.50 / share
50%
chance
No
0.50 / share
0 vol.
Will Anthropic IPO in 2026?
50%
chance
Yes
0.50 / share
50%
chance
No
0.50 / share
0 vol.