Resolution Criteria

This market resolves based on the final outcome of the civil trial commonly referred to as Elon Musk v. OpenAI, currently scheduled to begin in April 2026 in a U.S. court.

Elon Musk — YES

This outcome resolves YES if the court issues a final verdict, judgment, or jury decision that is materially favorable to Elon Musk, including but not limited to:

• A finding of liability against OpenAI or its co-defendants on one or more substantive claims, and/or
• An award of monetary damages, injunctive relief, or court-ordered remedies in favor of Elon Musk.

OpenAI — YES

This outcome resolves YES if the court issues a final verdict, judgment, or jury decision that is materially favorable to OpenAI, including but not limited to:

• Dismissal of Musk’s claims,
• A defense verdict finding no liability, or
• A judgment granting OpenAI relief on dispositive motions that effectively ends the case in its favor.

Additional Notes

• A settlement reached prior to verdict resolves this market as OpenAI — YES, unless the settlement explicitly states that OpenAI admits liability.
• A mixed or split verdict will resolve in favor of the party receiving the greater substantive legal victory, as determined by the court’s final judgment.
• Appeals do not affect resolution; the market resolves based on the first final trial-level judgment.
• If the case is dismissed without prejudice and refiled, this market remains unresolved until a qualifying outcome occurs.