Which company will have the best AI model at the end of 2025?

0%chance

2,946 vol.

Select an option

Google (Gemini)

55%chance

OpenAI (GPT)

17%chance

Meta (Llama)

1%chance

Anthropic (Claude)

1%chance

X (Grok)

8%chance

DeepSeek (DeepSeek)

1%chance

Microsoft (Phi)

1%chance

Other

17%chance

About

This market resolves to the company with the highest-overall ranking AI model as of December 31, 2025, according to the rankings on LMArena's leaderboard.

Timeline and Payout

Market open

June 6, 2025 · 4:51 PM EDT

Market closes

January 1, 2026 · 2:59 AM EST

Projected payout

Typially within less than 24 hours of market close

This market will close and payout early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it resolves by January 1, 2026 at 2:59 AM EST.