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Which of the top tech company CEOs will still be in their role on January 1, 2026?
Jenson Huang (NVIDIA)
Yes
93%
Mark Zuckerberg (META)
Yes
90%
5,139 vol.
Will the Federal Reserve lower interest rates by the end of 2025?
91%
chance
Yes
0.91 / share
9%
chance
No
0.09 / share
3,135 vol.
Which Mag-7 stock will have the best performance in 2025?
META
45%
MSFT
37%
NVDA
17%
AMZN
0%
GOOGL
0%
TSLA
0%
AAPL
0%
2,423 vol.
Will Carvana beat sell-side revenue expectations in Q2 2025?
91%
chance
Yes
0.91 / share
9%
chance
No
0.09 / share
1,799 vol.
Which company will have the best AI model at the end of 2025?
Google (Gemini)
49%
OpenAI (GPT)
40%
Meta (Llama)
2%
Anthropic (Claude)
2%
X (Grok)
3%
DeepSeek (DeepSeek)
2%
Microsoft (Phi)
2%
Other
1%
945 vol.
Will the US unemployment rate increase above 4.2% in June 2025?
15%
chance
Yes
0.15 / share
85%
chance
No
0.85 / share
827 vol.
Will the US experience a recession in 2025?
39%
chance
Yes
0.39 / share
61%
chance
No
0.61 / share
774 vol.
Will NVDA close higher after their Q2 earnings report?
43%
chance
Yes
0.43 / share
57%
chance
No
0.57 / share
441 vol.
Will HIMS still have compounded GLP-1s available for sale at the end of 2025?
72%
chance
Yes
0.72 / share
28%
chance
No
0.28 / share
311 vol.
Will Elon Musk and Tesla face targeted legal or regulatory action following his falling out with Donald Trump?
34%
chance
Yes
0.34 / share
66%
chance
No
0.66 / share
260 vol.
Will the US CPI for June 2025 exceed expectations?
66%
chance
Yes
0.66 / share
34%
chance
No
0.34 / share
194 vol.
Will the SPY finish positive this year?
82%
chance
Yes
0.82 / share
18%
chance
No
0.18 / share
137 vol.
How many cars will Carvana sell in Q2 2025?
Under 135,000
17%
135,000 – 139,999
17%
140,000 – 144,999
32%
145,000 – 149,999
17%
150,000 or more
17%
95 vol.
Will Tesla officially announce a new vehicle model for retail sale by the end of 2025?
83%
chance
Yes
0.83 / share
17%
chance
No
0.17 / share
87 vol.
Will TSLA close higher after their Q2 earnings report?
45%
chance
Yes
0.45 / share
55%
chance
No
0.55 / share
54 vol.
How many Daily Active People will META report for Q2 2025?
Less than 3.40 billion
11%
3.40 billion - 3.43 billion
11%
3.44 billion - 3.47 billion
25%
3.48 billion - 3.51 billion
31%
3.52 billion - 3.55 billion
12%
More than 3.55 billion
11%
29 vol.
Will AAPL report growth in year-over-year iPhone sales?
52%
chance
Yes
0.52 / share
48%
chance
No
0.48 / share
26 vol.
Will GOOGL close higher after their Q2 earnings report?
52%
chance
Yes
0.52 / share
48%
chance
No
0.48 / share
15 vol.
Will AMZN close higher after their Q2 earnings report?
51%
chance
Yes
0.51 / share
49%
chance
No
0.49 / share
15 vol.
Will CVNA close higher after their Q2 earnings report?
50%
chance
Yes
0.50 / share
50%
chance
No
0.50 / share
0 vol.
Will MSFT close higher after their Q2 earnings report?
50%
chance
Yes
0.50 / share
50%
chance
No
0.50 / share
0 vol.
Will AAPL close higher after their Q2 earnings report?
50%
chance
Yes
0.50 / share
50%
chance
No
0.50 / share
0 vol.
Will META close higher after their Q2 earnings report?
50%
chance
Yes
0.50 / share
50%
chance
No
0.50 / share
0 vol.
What will MSFT Intelligent Cloud growth be for Q4 FY 2025?
Less than 18%
12%
18%
13%
19%
14%
20%
25%
21%
24%
More than 21%
12%
0 vol.
What will NVDA report for Data Center revenue in Q2 FY 2026?
Above $40 billion
Yes
76%
Above $42 billion
Yes
60%
0 vol.
What will AMZN AWS Growth be for Q2 2025?
Above 14.0% YoY growth
Yes
76%
Above 15.0% YoY growth
Yes
69%
0 vol.
Will GOOGL Cloud growth increase in Q2 2025?
50%
chance
Yes
0.50 / share
50%
chance
No
0.50 / share
0 vol.