This market resolves to "Yes" if the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reports negative GDP growth for two consecutive quarters in 2025. The outcome will be verified based on the official GDP growth reports published by the BEA.
Timeline and Payout
Market open
June 6, 2025 · 8:51 PM UTC
Market closes
January 1, 2026 · 7:59 AM UTC
Projected payout
Within 24 hours of market close
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by January 1, 2026 at 7:59 AM UTC.