This market resolves to Yes if the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reports negative GDP growth for two consecutive quarters in 2025. The outcome will be verified based on the official GDP growth reports published by the BEA
Timeline and Payout
Market open
June 6, 2025 · 4:51 PM EDT
Market closed
January 1, 2026 · 3:00 AM EST
Paid out
January 5, 2026 · 4:32 PM EST
This market will close and payout early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it resolves by January 1, 2026 at 2:59 AM EST.
Resolved
The question has been resolved. All positions have now settled.