If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2025 at 4pm EST is above 5881.63, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Google. The market will close on December 31, 2025. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2025.
Timeline and Payout
Market open
June 6, 2025 · 8:51 PM UTC
Market closes
January 1, 2026 · 7:59 AM UTC
Projected payout
Within 24 hours of market close
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by January 1, 2026 at 7:59 AM UTC.