This market resolves to Yes if the advance estimate for seasonally adjusted U.S. retail and food services sales for the specified month is higher than the previous month's revised figure. Data sourced from the U.S. Census Bureau.
Timeline and Payout
Market open
November 21, 2025 · 11:03 AM EST
Market closed
January 1, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
Paid out
January 5, 2026 · 4:27 PM EST
This market will close and payout early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it resolves by December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM EST.
Resolved
The question has been resolved. All positions have now settled.